Sunday, September 4, 2011

The Odds - Hole-In-One

Written by Golf List Mania.

Golf definitely isn't a fair game.  As of this writing, after hitting millions of shots, I'm still searching for my first ace.  Meanwhile, my mother in law, Judy, who has played maybe 20 times in her life, has a hole in one.  I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

Recording a hole in one definitely means beating the odds.  A search through various sources shows your chances of being like my mother in law and experiencing a memory for a lifetime.

12,000 - 1.  The odds of an average amateur player making a hole in one.  In 2000, Golf Digest hired a mathematician to calculate the various odds for making an ace.  This figure seems fairly consistent with oterhs, including those from insurance companies.

3,000 - 1.  The odds for a tour player making a hole in one.  They were considerably lower at the 2009 Canadian Open.  The tournament featured eight aces.  You almost wonder if the sport was basketball, not golf that week.

5,000 - 1.  The odds for a low handicapper making a hole in one.  Yes, it helps to have a better game.  Also, these players usually play more, thus increasing their chances.

150,000 - 1.  The odds of an average player acing a 200 yard hole, according to the Golf Digest reseracher.  It figures.  Plenty of average golfers can't hit a fairway from 200 yards, let alone put the ball in the hole from that distance.

26.4 million - 1.  The odds of an average golfer making two holes in one in the same round, according to US Hole in One, a company that provides insurance for contests.  If you get two holes in one in the same round, just quit.  It'll never get any better than that.

156 million - 1.  The odds of making holes in one on consecutive holes, according to US Hole in One.  If you make aces on two straight holes, drop your clubs and buy a bunch of lottery tickets now!

488 billion - 1.  The odds of three golfers from the same foursome making holes in one on the same hole, according to US Hole in One.  Wonder how the fourth player must feel?  Imagine this scenario:  The three guys who hit before you record an ace.  Talk about pressure.